Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Rosseti (MCX:RSTI) Is Using Debt Extensively

MISX:RSTI
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Rosseti, Public Joint Stock Company (MCX:RSTI) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Rosseti

What Is Rosseti's Debt?

As you can see below, Rosseti had ₽514.4b of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has ₽136.9b in cash leading to net debt of about ₽377.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
MISX:RSTI Debt to Equity History January 4th 2022

A Look At Rosseti's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Rosseti had liabilities of ₽408.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₽710.4b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₽136.9b and ₽117.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₽863.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₽234.1b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Rosseti would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Rosseti has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that Rosseti has increased its EBIT by 7.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Rosseti's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Rosseti reported free cash flow worth 15% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Rosseti's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Rosseti commonly do use debt without problems. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Rosseti's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Rosseti, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About MISX:RSTI

Rosseti

Rosseti, Public Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides electricity transmission and distribution services in Russia.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.