The Beluga Group (MCX:BELU) Share Price Is Up 161% And Shareholders Are Boasting About It
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Long term Beluga Group Public Joint-Stock Company (MCX:BELU) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 161% in five years. And in the last month, the share price has gained -0.3%. But the price may well have benefitted from a buoyant market, since stocks have gained 15% in the last thirty days.
View our latest analysis for Beluga Group
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over half a decade, Beluga Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 18% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 21% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We know that Beluga Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Beluga Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Beluga Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 170%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Beluga Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 100% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 22%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Beluga Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on RU exchanges.
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About MISX:BELU
Beluga Group
Public joint-stock company Beluga Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of distilled alcohol and food products in Russia and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.