Is There More To The Story Than Beluga Group's (MCX:BELU) Earnings Growth?
It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Beluga Group (MCX:BELU).
We like the fact that Beluga Group made a profit of ₽1.40b on its revenue of ₽57.9b, in the last year. In the chart below, you can see that its profit and revenue have both grown over the last three years.
Check out our latest analysis for Beluga Group
Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. In this article we'll look at how Beluga Group is impacting shareholders by issuing new shares. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Beluga Group issued 20% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Beluga Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting Beluga Group's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)
As you can see above, Beluga Group has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 312% over three years. And the 47% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 48% over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Beluga Group can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
Our Take On Beluga Group's Profit Performance
Each Beluga Group share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Beluga Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Beluga Group (1 is significant) you should be familiar with.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Beluga Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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About MISX:BELU
Beluga Group
Public joint-stock company Beluga Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of distilled alcohol and food products in Russia and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.