Stock Analysis

Is PJSC Russian Aquaculture (MCX:AQUA) Using Too Much Debt?

MISX:AQUA
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that PJSC Russian Aquaculture (MCX:AQUA) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for PJSC Russian Aquaculture

What Is PJSC Russian Aquaculture's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 PJSC Russian Aquaculture had ₽9.20b of debt, an increase on ₽4.33b, over one year. However, it does have ₽2.61b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₽6.59b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
MISX:AQUA Debt to Equity History October 5th 2021

How Strong Is PJSC Russian Aquaculture's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that PJSC Russian Aquaculture had liabilities of ₽5.77b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₽5.29b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₽2.61b in cash and ₽888.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₽7.56b.

Of course, PJSC Russian Aquaculture has a market capitalization of ₽49.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

PJSC Russian Aquaculture's net debt is only 1.0 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, PJSC Russian Aquaculture grew its EBIT by 169% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PJSC Russian Aquaculture's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, PJSC Russian Aquaculture burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

The good news is that PJSC Russian Aquaculture's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that PJSC Russian Aquaculture can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for PJSC Russian Aquaculture you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About MISX:AQUA

PJSC Russian Aquaculture

PJSC Russian Aquaculture engages in farming and distribution of fish and caviar in the Republic of Karelia and Murmansk region, Russia.

Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.