Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at SOCEP (BVB:SOCP) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for SOCEP:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.031 = RON12m ÷ (RON415m - RON20m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, SOCEP has an ROCE of 3.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 9.7%.
See our latest analysis for SOCEP
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for SOCEP's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of SOCEP, check out these free graphs here.
So How Is SOCEP's ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at SOCEP, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 7.9%, but since then they've fallen to 3.1%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
The Key Takeaway
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for SOCEP have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Yet despite these concerning fundamentals, the stock has performed strongly with a 43% return over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about SOCEP, we've spotted 6 warning signs, and 3 of them are a bit unpleasant.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BVB:SOCP
SOCEP
Together with its subsidiary, SOCEFIN S.R.L., provides cargo handling services in the ports of Constanta and Agigea, Romania.
Solid track record and good value.