SNGN Romgaz Valuation

Is SNG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SNG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SNG (RON5.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (RON35.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SNG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SNG?

Key metric: As SNG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SNG. This is calculated by dividing SNG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SNG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.9x
EarningsRON 2.92b
Market CapRON 20.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SNG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SNG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
SNP OMV Petrom
8.5x3.0%RON 45.8b
WCP Whitecap Resources
7.1x-17.0%CA$6.1b
PSK PrairieSky Royalty
32.5x2.1%CA$7.1b
HBR Harbour Energy
50.1x14.4%UK£3.9b
SNG SNGN Romgaz
6.9x7.5%RON 20.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SNG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SNG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SNG 6.9xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SNG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SNG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SNG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.9x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SNG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SNG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRON 5.26
RON 5.61
+6.7%
10.2%RON 6.61RON 4.92n/a6
Nov ’25RON 5.39
RON 5.49
+1.8%
12.0%RON 6.61RON 4.76n/a6
Oct ’25RON 5.59
RON 5.49
-1.9%
12.0%RON 6.61RON 4.76n/a6
Sep ’25RON 5.76
RON 5.37
-6.8%
9.1%RON 5.95RON 4.76n/a6
Aug ’25RON 5.94
RON 5.37
-9.6%
9.1%RON 5.95RON 4.76n/a6
Jul ’25RON 5.95
RON 5.44
-8.5%
9.3%RON 5.95RON 4.76n/a5
Jun ’25RON 5.43
RON 5.38
-0.8%
10.2%RON 5.95RON 4.76n/a4
May ’25RON 5.25
RON 5.38
+2.6%
10.2%RON 5.95RON 4.76n/a4
Apr ’25RON 5.60
RON 5.90
+5.3%
20.2%RON 8.05RON 4.76n/a5
Mar ’25RON 4.96
RON 5.80
+17.1%
20.8%RON 8.05RON 4.76n/a5
Feb ’25RON 5.14
RON 5.71
+11.1%
21.8%RON 8.05RON 4.76n/a5
Jan ’25RON 5.01
RON 5.71
+14.0%
21.8%RON 8.05RON 4.76n/a5
Dec ’24RON 4.80
RON 5.71
+19.0%
21.8%RON 8.05RON 4.76n/a5
Nov ’24RON 4.56
RON 5.70
+24.9%
22.1%RON 8.05RON 4.73RON 5.395
Oct ’24RON 4.50
RON 5.70
+26.6%
22.1%RON 8.05RON 4.73RON 5.595
Sep ’24RON 4.05
RON 5.52
+36.2%
25.4%RON 8.05RON 4.10RON 5.765
Aug ’24RON 4.13
RON 5.35
+29.6%
19.4%RON 6.63RON 4.10RON 5.945
Jul ’24RON 4.43
RON 5.29
+19.6%
20.5%RON 6.63RON 4.10RON 5.955
Jun ’24RON 4.06
RON 5.29
+30.3%
20.5%RON 6.63RON 4.10RON 5.435
May ’24RON 3.88
RON 5.43
+39.8%
19.1%RON 6.63RON 4.10RON 5.256
Apr ’24RON 3.97
RON 5.43
+36.8%
19.1%RON 6.63RON 4.10RON 5.606
Mar ’24RON 4.05
RON 5.30
+30.9%
16.2%RON 6.56RON 4.41RON 4.965
Feb ’24RON 4.02
RON 5.30
+32.1%
16.2%RON 6.56RON 4.41RON 5.145
Jan ’24RON 3.78
RON 5.54
+46.8%
12.8%RON 6.56RON 4.69RON 5.015
Dec ’23RON 4.00
RON 5.71
+42.8%
12.3%RON 6.56RON 4.69RON 4.804
Nov ’23RON 3.85
RON 5.69
+47.9%
11.0%RON 6.56RON 4.69RON 4.565

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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