OMV Petrom S.A.

BVB:SNP Stock Report

Market Cap: RON 45.8b

OMV Petrom Valuation

Is SNP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SNP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SNP (RON0.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (RON1.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SNP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SNP?

Key metric: As SNP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SNP. This is calculated by dividing SNP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SNP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.5x
EarningsRON 5.41b
Market CapRON 45.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SNP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SNP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.3x
SNG SNGN Romgaz
7x10.6%RON 20.4b
GALP Galp Energia SGPS
9x-11.0%€12.1b
REP Repsol
4.2x-5.9%€14.0b
ECOPETROL Ecopetrol
4.8x-5.2%Col$74.0t
SNP OMV Petrom
8.5x3.0%RON 45.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SNP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SNP 8.5xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SNP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SNP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.5x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SNP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRON 0.73
RON 0.72
-1.5%
15.8%RON 0.81RON 0.50n/a6
Nov ’25RON 0.74
RON 0.73
-1.7%
16.1%RON 0.82RON 0.50n/a6
Oct ’25RON 0.73
RON 0.73
+0.5%
14.6%RON 0.82RON 0.53n/a6
Sep ’25RON 0.76
RON 0.73
-2.7%
17.4%RON 0.93RON 0.53n/a6
Aug ’25RON 0.79
RON 0.73
-6.6%
17.4%RON 0.93RON 0.53n/a6
Jul ’25RON 0.76
RON 0.74
-3.5%
15.8%RON 0.93RON 0.57n/a6
Jun ’25RON 0.70
RON 0.74
+4.8%
15.8%RON 0.93RON 0.57n/a6
May ’25RON 0.69
RON 0.74
+6.6%
15.8%RON 0.93RON 0.57n/a6
Apr ’25RON 0.68
RON 0.76
+11.9%
13.7%RON 0.93RON 0.65n/a4
Mar ’25RON 0.62
RON 0.63
+1.6%
14.3%RON 0.77RON 0.54n/a4
Feb ’25RON 0.59
RON 0.64
+8.4%
16.2%RON 0.80RON 0.54n/a4
Jan ’25RON 0.57
RON 0.62
+7.1%
16.5%RON 0.80RON 0.53n/a5
Dec ’24RON 0.54
RON 0.62
+13.8%
16.5%RON 0.80RON 0.53n/a5
Nov ’24RON 0.53
RON 0.61
+14.9%
15.9%RON 0.80RON 0.53RON 0.746
Oct ’24RON 0.57
RON 0.61
+6.6%
15.9%RON 0.80RON 0.53RON 0.736
Sep ’24RON 0.54
RON 0.57
+6.1%
7.9%RON 0.65RON 0.53RON 0.766
Aug ’24RON 0.55
RON 0.58
+7.2%
8.6%RON 0.65RON 0.51RON 0.796
Jul ’24RON 0.50
RON 0.58
+16.2%
7.0%RON 0.63RON 0.51RON 0.766
Jun ’24RON 0.50
RON 0.58
+16.9%
7.0%RON 0.63RON 0.51RON 0.706
May ’24RON 0.48
RON 0.58
+19.8%
7.0%RON 0.63RON 0.51RON 0.696
Apr ’24RON 0.46
RON 0.58
+26.1%
6.9%RON 0.63RON 0.51RON 0.686
Mar ’24RON 0.48
RON 0.62
+29.6%
21.1%RON 0.88RON 0.50RON 0.626
Feb ’24RON 0.47
RON 0.67
+43.0%
21.5%RON 0.88RON 0.50RON 0.596
Jan ’24RON 0.42
RON 0.67
+59.2%
21.5%RON 0.88RON 0.50RON 0.576
Dec ’23RON 0.46
RON 0.67
+44.4%
21.5%RON 0.88RON 0.50RON 0.546
Nov ’23RON 0.46
RON 0.66
+45.0%
20.6%RON 0.88RON 0.50RON 0.536

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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