Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.

ENXTLS:GALP Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.4b

Galp Energia SGPS Valuation

Is GALP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GALP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GALP (€16.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€51.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GALP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GALP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GALP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.6x
PEG Ratio-1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GALP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GALP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.7x
OMV OMV
9.7x7.7%€14.4b
REP Repsol
5.9x-2.8%€18.3b
SNP OMV Petrom
10.5x6.8%RON42.4b
PTT PTT
8.7x-3.8%฿978.3b
GALP Galp Energia SGPS
10x-6.0%€12.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GALP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GALP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-1.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-1.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GALP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (6.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GALP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GALP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GALP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GALP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.09
€15.63
-2.8%
11.7%€18.00€10.00n/a18
Apr ’25€15.32
€15.34
+0.2%
13.6%€18.00€9.00n/a18
Mar ’25€14.87
€15.33
+3.1%
13.0%€18.00€9.00n/a19
Feb ’25€14.71
€15.02
+2.1%
14.7%€18.00€9.00n/a19
Jan ’25€13.34
€14.48
+8.6%
14.3%€19.00€9.00n/a19
Dec ’24€13.85
€14.54
+5.0%
14.3%€19.00€9.00n/a19
Nov ’24€14.31
€14.56
+1.8%
14.9%€19.00€9.00n/a19
Oct ’24€14.04
€13.98
-0.4%
16.2%€19.00€9.00n/a19
Sep ’24€13.02
€13.61
+4.5%
16.4%€19.00€9.00n/a19
Aug ’24€11.98
€13.63
+13.8%
14.7%€18.00€10.00n/a19
Jul ’24€10.72
€13.33
+24.3%
15.6%€18.00€10.00n/a19
Jun ’24€10.20
€13.43
+31.7%
15.8%€18.00€10.00n/a19
May ’24€10.99
€13.55
+23.3%
16.2%€19.00€10.30n/a20
Apr ’24€10.46
€13.81
+32.0%
15.4%€19.00€10.60€15.3220
Mar ’24€11.02
€14.05
+27.5%
15.2%€19.00€10.00€14.8720
Feb ’24€12.50
€14.30
+14.4%
14.9%€19.00€10.00€14.7120
Jan ’24€12.61
€14.01
+11.1%
14.5%€17.00€10.00€13.3420
Dec ’23€11.77
€13.98
+18.8%
15.0%€18.00€10.00€13.8520
Nov ’23€10.59
€13.75
+29.8%
15.1%€18.00€10.00€14.3121
Oct ’23€9.82
€13.99
+42.4%
14.3%€18.00€10.00€14.0421
Sep ’23€10.66
€13.85
+29.9%
13.0%€17.00€10.00€13.0221
Aug ’23€10.13
€13.74
+35.6%
13.4%€17.00€10.00€11.9821
Jul ’23€10.66
€13.55
+27.1%
13.6%€17.00€10.00€10.7221
Jun ’23€12.30
€13.32
+8.3%
14.4%€17.00€10.00€10.2021
May ’23€11.63
€12.90
+10.9%
14.0%€16.40€10.00€10.9921
Apr ’23€11.60
€12.64
+9.0%
14.9%€16.40€10.00€10.4621

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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