Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Romcab SA's (BVB:MCAB) Share Price Following 30% Dive

BVB:MCAB
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Romcab SA (BVB:MCAB) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 30% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 64% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Romcab's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electrical industry in Romania, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.1x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Romcab

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BVB:MCAB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

What Does Romcab's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Romcab's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Romcab, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Romcab's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Romcab would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 75% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 46% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that Romcab's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Romcab's P/S?

Romcab's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Electrical companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's no surprise that Romcab maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Romcab (4 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.