David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Atlas Estates Limited (WSE:ATL) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Atlas Estates
What Is Atlas Estates's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Atlas Estates had €73.2m of debt at September 2021, down from €77.6m a year prior. On the flip side, it has €49.4m in cash leading to net debt of about €23.8m.
How Healthy Is Atlas Estates' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Atlas Estates had liabilities of €32.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of €74.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €49.4m as well as receivables valued at €1.93m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €56.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €24.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Atlas Estates would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Atlas Estates will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Atlas Estates made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €13m, which is a fall of 34%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Atlas Estates's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €323k. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. But on the bright side the company actually produced a statutory profit of €6.6m and free cash flow of €3.8m. So there is definitely a chance that it can improve things in the next few years. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Atlas Estates you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:ATL
Atlas Estates
Atlas Estates Limited is a Guernsey incorporated closed-ended investment company investing in real estate in Central and Eastern European countries (“CEE”).
Good value with proven track record.