Stock Analysis

Companies Like Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna (WSE:CTX) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

WSE:CTX
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna (WSE:CTX) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna

How Long Is Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna's Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna last reported its balance sheet in December 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth zł118m. Importantly, its cash burn was zł34m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.5 years as of December 2021. Importantly, though, the one analyst we see covering the stock thinks that Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna will reach cashflow breakeven before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:CTX Debt to Equity History June 15th 2022

How Is Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced zł4.0m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Its cash burn positively exploded in the last year, up 4,062%. Given that sharp increase in spending, the company's cash runway will shrink rapidly as it depletes its cash reserves. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna Raise More Cash Easily?

While Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of zł541m, Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna's zł34m in cash burn equates to about 6.2% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

So, Should We Worry About Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna's Cash Burn?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that at least one analyst is forecasting it will reach breakeven. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Captor Therapeutics Spolka Akcyjna you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.