Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in PlayWay S.A.'s (WSE:PLW) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

WSE:PLW
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It is hard to get excited after looking at PlayWay's (WSE:PLW) recent performance, when its stock has declined 24% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on PlayWay's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for PlayWay

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for PlayWay is:

23% = zł106m ÷ zł462m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every PLN1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of PLN0.23.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of PlayWay's Earnings Growth And 23% ROE

To begin with, PlayWay seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 14% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for PlayWay's moderate 11% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that PlayWay's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 16% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
WSE:PLW Past Earnings Growth December 23rd 2023

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if PlayWay is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is PlayWay Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 83% (or a retention ratio of 17%) for PlayWay suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Moreover, PlayWay is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of six years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 33% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 40%, over the same period.

Summary

In total, it does look like PlayWay has some positive aspects to its business. The company has grown its earnings moderately as previously discussed. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be quite low. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.