Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Agora's (WSE:AGO) Soft Earnings
Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Agora S.A.'s (WSE:AGO) lackluster earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.
Examining Cashflow Against Agora's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Agora has an accrual ratio of -0.17 for the year to December 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of zł198m, well over the zł6.07m it reported in profit. Agora shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Agora .
Our Take On Agora's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Agora produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Agora's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Agora as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Agora has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Agora's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:AGO
Agora
Primarily engages in publishing magazines, periodicals, and books in Poland.
Slightly overvalued with questionable track record.
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