Stock Analysis

Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police (WSE:PCE) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police S.A. (WSE:PCE) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Advertisement

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police

What Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police had zł1.15b of debt, up from zł787.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have zł53.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł1.10b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:PCE Debt to Equity History January 22nd 2025

How Strong Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police had liabilities of zł1.97b falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł546.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł53.8m in cash and zł318.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł2.15b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the zł1.06b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 27%, to zł2.6b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable zł145m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of zł995m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About WSE:PCE

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police S.A.

Good value with mediocre balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25367.6% overvalued
68 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.3% undervalued
65 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6410.4% overvalued
11 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

BO
MU logo
BonSquid88 on Micron Technology ·

Micron Technology will experience a robust 16.5% revenue growth

Fair Value:US$40021.1% undervalued
4 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
MA
AMZN logo
MarketMuse on Amazon.com ·

Amazon will rebound as AI investments start paying off by late 2026

Fair Value:US$45049.7% undervalued
45 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
HVN logo
Robbo on Harvey Norman Holdings ·

Inside Harvey Norman: Asset-Heavy Retail in an Online World

Fair Value:AU$5.8419.5% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.3% undervalued
65 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25367.6% overvalued
68 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$253.0225.4% undervalued
1011 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
28 users have liked this narrative