Stock Analysis

We Think Odlewnie Polskie's (WSE:ODL) Solid Earnings Are Understated

WSE:ODL
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Odlewnie Polskie S.A.'s (WSE:ODL) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Odlewnie Polskie

earnings-and-revenue-history
WSE:ODL Earnings and Revenue History April 28th 2022

Zooming In On Odlewnie Polskie's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Odlewnie Polskie recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of zł26m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of zł20.1m. Odlewnie Polskie's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Odlewnie Polskie.

Our Take On Odlewnie Polskie's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Odlewnie Polskie has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Odlewnie Polskie's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 33% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Odlewnie Polskie you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Odlewnie Polskie's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.