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Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In KGHM Polska Miedz S.A. (WSE:KGH)
It's not a stretch to say that KGHM Polska Miedz S.A.'s (WSE:KGH) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Poland, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for KGHM Polska Miedz
What Does KGHM Polska Miedz's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, KGHM Polska Miedz has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on KGHM Polska Miedz.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like KGHM Polska Miedz's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by 18% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.8% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.6% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why KGHM Polska Miedz is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at KGHM Polska Miedz's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for KGHM Polska Miedz with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:KGH
KGHM Polska Miedz
Engages in the production and sale of copper, precious metals, and non-ferrous metals in Poland and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.
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