If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Arctic Paper (WSE:ATC), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Arctic Paper, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.076 = zł114m ÷ (zł2.1b - zł636m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).
Therefore, Arctic Paper has an ROCE of 7.6%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 6.5% average generated by the Forestry industry.
See our latest analysis for Arctic Paper
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Arctic Paper's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Arctic Paper. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 7.6% and the business has deployed 41% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
One more thing to note, even though ROCE has remained relatively flat over the last five years, the reduction in current liabilities to 30% of total assets, is good to see from a business owner's perspective. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.
The Bottom Line
In conclusion, Arctic Paper has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 22% to shareholders over the last five years. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.
Like most companies, Arctic Paper does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Arctic Paper may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:ATC
Arctic Paper
Engages in the production and sale of paper for printing houses, paper distributors, book and magazine publishing houses, and the advertising industries in Poland, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Scandinavia, other Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.