David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Arctic Paper S.A. (WSE:ATC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Arctic Paper
How Much Debt Does Arctic Paper Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Arctic Paper had debt of zł165.5m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from zł173.2m over a year. But on the other hand it also has zł307.7m in cash, leading to a zł142.1m net cash position.
A Look At Arctic Paper's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Arctic Paper had liabilities of zł678.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of zł233.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł307.7m as well as receivables valued at zł475.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total zł127.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Arctic Paper has a market capitalization of zł1.30b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Arctic Paper also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Arctic Paper if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 50% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Arctic Paper's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Arctic Paper may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Arctic Paper recorded free cash flow worth 50% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Arctic Paper's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of zł142.1m. So we don't have any problem with Arctic Paper's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Arctic Paper , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:ATC
Arctic Paper
Engages in the production and sale of paper for printing houses, paper distributors, book and magazine publishing houses, and the advertising industries in Poland, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Scandinavia, other Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.