Stock Analysis

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Igoria Trade S.A.'s (WSE:IGT) Shares After Tumbling 27%

WSE:IGT
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Igoria Trade S.A. (WSE:IGT) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 28% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Igoria Trade's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Poland is similar at about 12x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Igoria Trade has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Igoria Trade

pe-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:IGT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 30th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Igoria Trade will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Igoria Trade's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's curious that Igoria Trade's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Igoria Trade's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Igoria Trade currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Igoria Trade (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Igoria Trade. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.