Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Rainbow Tours' (WSE:RBW) Returns On Capital

WSE:RBW
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Rainbow Tours (WSE:RBW), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Rainbow Tours is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.084 = zł28m ÷ (zł924m - zł597m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

So, Rainbow Tours has an ROCE of 8.4%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 8.4%, it's still a low return by itself.

Check out our latest analysis for Rainbow Tours

roce
WSE:RBW Return on Capital Employed May 18th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Rainbow Tours' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Rainbow Tours here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Rainbow Tours

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Hospitality market.
  • Current share price is above our estimate of fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow faster than the Polish market.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by earnings.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Rainbow Tours Tell Us?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Rainbow Tours, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 8.4% from 44% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Rainbow Tours has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 65%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

The Bottom Line On Rainbow Tours' ROCE

While returns have fallen for Rainbow Tours in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 8.7% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Rainbow Tours we've found 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

While Rainbow Tours may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.