Stock Analysis

Is Monnari Trade (WSE:MON) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

WSE:MON
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Monnari Trade S.A. (WSE:MON) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Monnari Trade

How Much Debt Does Monnari Trade Carry?

As you can see below, Monnari Trade had zł12.0m of debt at September 2020, down from zł13.3m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds zł19.0m in cash, so it actually has zł6.96m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:MON Debt to Equity History January 4th 2021

A Look At Monnari Trade's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Monnari Trade had liabilities of zł61.0m due within a year, and liabilities of zł31.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had zł19.0m in cash and zł33.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł39.7m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of zł51.8m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Monnari Trade also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Monnari Trade's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Monnari Trade had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 9.6%, to zł246m. We would much prefer see growth.

So How Risky Is Monnari Trade?

Although Monnari Trade had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of zł40m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Monnari Trade (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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