Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CCC S.A. (WSE:CCC) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for CCC
How Much Debt Does CCC Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CCC had zł1.56b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it does have zł422.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł1.13b.
A Look At CCC's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, CCC had liabilities of zł3.58b due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł2.62b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had zł422.3m in cash and zł444.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling zł5.33b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of zł4.54b, we think shareholders really should watch CCC's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CCC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, CCC reported revenue of zł5.7b, which is a gain of 4.9%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, CCC had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping zł466m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through zł7.0m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for CCC you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About WSE:CCC
CCC
Operates in the footwear sector in Poland, Central and Eastern Europe, and Western Europe.
High growth potential with acceptable track record.