There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating Grupa RECYKL (WSE:GRC), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Grupa RECYKL:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.068 = zł7.6m ÷ (zł136m - zł24m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Grupa RECYKL has an ROCE of 6.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Commercial Services industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for Grupa RECYKL
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Grupa RECYKL's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Grupa RECYKL has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Grupa RECYKL in recent years. The company has consistently earned 6.8% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 120% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
The Key Takeaway
As we've seen above, Grupa RECYKL's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 185% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Grupa RECYKL, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:GRC
Grupa RECYKL
Engages in the collection and management of packaging and post-consumer waste in Poland and internationally.
Solid track record with mediocre balance sheet.