Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in Grupa Pracuj S.A.'s (WSE:GPP) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

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WSE:GPP

With its stock down 5.8% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Grupa Pracuj (WSE:GPP). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Grupa Pracuj's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupa Pracuj

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Grupa Pracuj is:

47% = zł197m ÷ zł419m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every PLN1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated PLN0.47 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Grupa Pracuj's Earnings Growth And 47% ROE

To begin with, Grupa Pracuj has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 16% which is quite remarkable. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in a flat growth for Grupa Pracuj in the past five years. So, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

We then compared Grupa Pracuj's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 21% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

WSE:GPP Past Earnings Growth July 31st 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is GPP fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Grupa Pracuj Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 63% (meaning, the company retains only 37% of profits) for Grupa Pracuj suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Only recently, Grupa Pracuj started paying a dividend. This means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 72%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Grupa Pracuj's future ROE will be 55% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

In total, it does look like Grupa Pracuj has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.