Improved Earnings Required Before City Service SE (WSE:CTS) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

The City Service SE (WSE:CTS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.9% isn't as impressive.

Even after such a large jump in price, City Service's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Poland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 23x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, City Service has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for City Service

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on City Service's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, City Service would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 150%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 39% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that City Service's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From City Service's P/E?

City Service's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that City Service maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for City Service (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com