Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that City Service SE (WSE:CTS) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for City Service
How Much Debt Does City Service Carry?
As you can see below, City Service had €21.8m of debt at September 2020, down from €26.0m a year prior. However, it does have €8.27m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €13.6m.
How Strong Is City Service's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that City Service had liabilities of €41.0m due within a year, and liabilities of €30.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €8.27m and €40.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €22.5m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since City Service has a market capitalization of €57.5m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
City Service's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.4 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, City Service grew its EBIT by 129% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since City Service will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, City Service generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
The good news is that City Service's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, City Service seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that City Service is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About WSE:CTS
City Service
Provides facility management and integrated utility services in Lithuania and Latvia.
Solid track record slight.