Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Tamex Obiekty Sportowe S.A. (WSE:TOS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Tamex Obiekty Sportowe
What Is Tamex Obiekty Sportowe's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Tamex Obiekty Sportowe had debt of zł15.4m, up from zł12.6m in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At Tamex Obiekty Sportowe's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tamex Obiekty Sportowe had liabilities of zł32.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł9.62m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł282.3k as well as receivables valued at zł47.0m due within 12 months. So it actually has zł4.95m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Tamex Obiekty Sportowe could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Tamex Obiekty Sportowe has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.3 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that Tamex Obiekty Sportowe grew its EBIT a smooth 78% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Tamex Obiekty Sportowe's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Tamex Obiekty Sportowe burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Tamex Obiekty Sportowe's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Tamex Obiekty Sportowe's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Tamex Obiekty Sportowe (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:TOS
Adequate balance sheet slight.