Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Don't Think Lubawa's (WSE:LBW) Statutory Earnings Reflect Its Underlying Earnings Potential

WSE:LBW
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Lubawa (WSE:LBW).

We like the fact that Lubawa made a profit of zł34.2m on its revenue of zł263.0m, in the last year.

View our latest analysis for Lubawa

earnings-and-revenue-history
WSE:LBW Earnings and Revenue History December 22nd 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. In this article we'll look at how Lubawa is impacting shareholders by issuing new shares, as well as how unusual items have affected the income line. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lubawa.

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Lubawa issued 38% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Lubawa's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Lubawa's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

We don't have any data on the company's profits from three years ago. The good news is that profit was up 67% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 30% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Lubawa can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Lubawa's net profit by zł6.0m over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Lubawa doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Lubawa's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Lubawa got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Lubawa's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Lubawa has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Our examination of Lubawa has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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