If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Looking at Budimex (WSE:BDX), it does have a high ROCE right now, but lets see how returns are trending.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Budimex:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.21 = zł439m ÷ (zł7.6b - zł5.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Budimex has an ROCE of 21%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Construction industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for Budimex
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Budimex compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Budimex here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Budimex, we didn't gain much confidence. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 28%, but they have dropped over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Budimex has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 72%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Budimex is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 120% to shareholders in the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Budimex, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.
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About WSE:BDX
Budimex
Operates as an infrastructure and services company in Poland, Germany, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.