Mainfreight Limited

NZSE:MFT Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$6.6b

Mainfreight Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Mainfreight is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.9% and 4.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.7% in 3 years.

Key information

9.9%

Earnings growth rate

9.87%

EPS growth rate

Logistics earnings growth12.0%
Revenue growth rate4.5%
Future return on equity13.70%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Jan 14

Mainfreight Limited's (NZSE:MFT) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

When close to half the companies in New Zealand have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Sep 28

Does Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Analysis Article Sep 15

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Mainfreight Limited's (NZSE:MFT) P/E

Mainfreight Limited's ( NZSE:MFT ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.7x might make it look like a sell right now...
Analysis Article Sep 01

Estimating The Fair Value Of Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Mainfreight is NZ$75.46 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Analysis Article Jul 01

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT)

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically...
Analysis Article Jun 16

Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article May 30

What Mainfreight Limited's (NZSE:MFT) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Mainfreight Limited ( NZSE:MFT ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Analysis Article May 28

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT)

Key Insights Mainfreight's estimated fair value is NZ$68.56 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With NZ$67.00...
Analysis Article Apr 13

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Mainfreight Limited's (NZSE:MFT) Price

When close to half the companies in New Zealand have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Mar 11

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT)

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article Feb 04

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Mainfreight is NZ$86.90 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article Jan 01

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Mainfreight Limited's (NZSE:MFT) P/E

When close to half the companies in New Zealand have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 20x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Dec 17

These 4 Measures Indicate That Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Nov 12

Investors Should Be Encouraged By Mainfreight's (NZSE:MFT) Returns On Capital

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article Oct 25

Estimating The Fair Value Of Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Mainfreight fair value estimate is NZ$88.95 Mainfreight's...
Analysis Article Sep 10

Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Mainfreight Limited's ( NZSE:MFT ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.3x might make it look like a strong sell...
Analysis Article Jul 25

Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT)

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Jul 11

Is Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Jun 19

Calculating The Fair Value Of Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Mainfreight fair value estimate is NZ$66.44 Current share...
Analysis Article Jun 04

Mainfreight's (NZSE:MFT) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

The market for Mainfreight Limited's ( NZSE:MFT ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our...
Analysis Article Apr 22

Investor Optimism Abounds Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT) But Growth Is Lacking

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21x Mainfreight Limited ( NZSE:MFT ) may be sending bearish signals at the...
Analysis Article Feb 12

Here's What To Make Of Mainfreight's (NZSE:MFT) Decelerating Rates Of Return

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Jan 26

Is Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) A Risky Investment?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Oct 20

With EPS Growth And More, Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Makes An Interesting Case

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Sep 19

Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Could Become A Multi-Bagger

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article Jul 20

Here's Why We Think Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article Jun 28

Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Analysis Article May 28

Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Has Announced A Dividend Of NZ$1.02

The board of Mainfreight Limited ( NZSE:MFT ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of NZ$1.02 per share on the...
Analysis Article Apr 17

An Intrinsic Calculation For Mainfreight Limited (NZSE:MFT) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued

Key Insights Mainfreight's estimated fair value is NZ$96.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Mainfreight is...
Analysis Article Apr 04

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Presents An Opportunity

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Mar 09

Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Feb 09

The Trend Of High Returns At Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Has Us Very Interested

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article Nov 23

Here's Why We Think Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT) Is Well Worth Watching

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Nov 10

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Mainfreight (NZSE:MFT)

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:MFT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/20296,3103362707415
3/31/20286,0083082586946
3/31/20275,8182781906486
3/31/20265,384251392589N/A
12/31/20255,337252385596N/A
9/30/20255,290253378602N/A
6/30/20255,263264355593N/A
3/31/20255,236274331584N/A
12/31/20245,076237284547N/A
9/30/20244,915199237510N/A
6/30/20244,816204234507N/A
3/31/20244,718209230505N/A
12/31/20234,873271301579N/A
9/30/20235,027334371653N/A
6/30/20235,352380402705N/A
3/31/20235,676426433757N/A
12/31/20225,811434386687N/A
9/30/20225,947442338617N/A
6/30/20225,583399324560N/A
3/31/20225,218355311504N/A
12/31/20214,714301259435N/A
9/30/20214,209246208366N/A
6/30/20213,877217231371N/A
3/31/20213,544188254376N/A
12/31/20203,373181247371N/A
9/30/20203,203173241366N/A
6/30/20203,149166191334N/A
3/31/20203,095159141301N/A
12/31/20193,059150N/A275N/A
9/30/20193,023141N/A249N/A
6/30/20192,988139N/A223N/A
3/31/20192,953138N/A197N/A
12/31/20182,888129N/A176N/A
9/30/20182,822121N/A154N/A
6/30/20182,719114N/A147N/A
3/31/20182,616108N/A140N/A
12/31/20172,516105N/A138N/A
9/30/20172,416102N/A136N/A
6/30/20172,375102N/A134N/A
3/31/20172,333102N/A131N/A
12/31/20162,32399N/A134N/A
9/30/20162,31397N/A136N/A
6/30/20162,29892N/A133N/A
3/31/20162,28488N/A130N/A
12/31/20152,23285N/A127N/A
9/30/20152,18182N/A124N/A
6/30/20152,11782N/A119N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MFT's forecast earnings growth (9.9% per year) is above the savings rate (4%).

Earnings vs Market: MFT's earnings (9.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the NZ market (19.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MFT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MFT's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (4.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MFT's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MFT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.7%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/13 06:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/12 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mainfreight Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Philip CampbellCitigroup Inc
Wade GardinerDeutsche Bank
Andrew BowleyForsyth Barr Group Ltd.