Major Estimate Revision • May 25
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 50% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from NZ$236.6m to NZ$233.1m. EPS estimate also fell from NZ$0.131 per share to NZ$0.066 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 41% next year vs 39% growth forecast for Software industry in New Zealand . Consensus price target down from NZ$6.83 to NZ$5.32. Share price fell 6.1% to NZ$3.71 over the past week. Reported Earnings • May 19
First half 2026 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.046 (vs NZ$0.068 in 1H 2025) First half 2026 results: EPS: NZ$0.046 (down from NZ$0.068 in 1H 2025). Revenue: NZ$110.1m (down 1.7% from 1H 2025). Net income: NZ$5.11m (down 29% from 1H 2025). Profit margin: 4.6% (down from 6.4% in 1H 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 27% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Major Estimate Revision • May 07
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 30% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from NZ$254.4m to NZ$239.9m. EPS estimate also fell from NZ$0.205 per share to NZ$0.144 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 53% next year vs 37% growth forecast for Software industry in New Zealand . Consensus price target down from NZ$9.10 to NZ$6.83. Share price fell 34% to NZ$3.95 over the past week. Live News • May 07
Gentrack Sets Growth Plan With Lower Revenue Guidance and Dubai Technology Partners Acquisition Gentrack cut its FY26 revenue guidance, citing softer non-recurring revenue, and flagged a weaker EBITDA outlook as it prioritises growth over near-term earnings.
The company plans to invest more in international product development and in rolling out its g2.0 model, which it aims to position for higher margins over time.
Gentrack announced an on-market share buyback of up to NZ$20m over the next 12 months and separately moved to expand its airport software presence with the acquisition of Dubai Technology Partners.
For you as an investor, the message is that Gentrack is choosing to lean into growth projects even though that is expected to put pressure on EBITDA. Management is directing capital toward global expansion, particularly through its g2.0 platform and a larger international product footprint, while non-recurring revenue is expected to be weaker than previously guided. The buyback signals the company is willing to return capital at the same time as it funds this plan, which can be an important indicator of how it views its own equity.
The acquisition of Dubai Technology Partners fits with Gentrack’s focus on utilities and airports and increases its reach in the Middle East airport market. Broker commentary cited in the news flow points to continued interest in the stock, even with a lowered price target. When you put these updates together, the key questions to consider are how comfortable you are with lower earnings in the near term, the balance between recurring and non-recurring revenue, and the potential impact of the airport and g2.0 growth push on Gentrack’s longer-term profile. Price Target Changed • May 06
Price target decreased by 20% to NZ$7.74 Down from NZ$9.67, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 110% above last closing price of NZ$3.68. Stock is down 69% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.20 for next year compared to NZ$0.19 last year. New Risk • May 05
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 12% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 05
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 34% After last week's 34% share price decline to NZ$3.94, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Software industry in Oceania. Total returns to shareholders of 14% over the past three years. Announcement • Apr 28
Gentrack Group Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on May 18, 2026 Gentrack Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on May 18, 2026 Price Target Changed • Apr 13
Price target decreased by 7.3% to NZ$10.12 Down from NZ$10.92, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 59% above last closing price of NZ$6.35. Stock is down 41% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.20 for next year compared to NZ$0.19 last year. Price Target Changed • Apr 09
Price target decreased by 7.3% to NZ$10.12 Down from NZ$10.92, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 56% above last closing price of NZ$6.50. Stock is down 39% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.20 for next year compared to NZ$0.19 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 13
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 17% to NZ$7.60. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$9.52, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 22% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 27
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to NZ$8.29, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 40x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Software industry in Oceania. Total returns to shareholders of 177% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at NZ$9.68 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 27
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to NZ$7.85. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$9.86, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 22% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Jan 01
Gentrack Group Limited Appoints John Scott as Non-Executive Director, Effective January 1, 2026 Gentrack Group Limited delighted to advise that John Scott will join Gentrack as a non-executive director from 1 January 2026. John has been appointed by the Board as an additional director. John has extensive experience in the areas of global technology, digital transformation, and business strategy. With a strong executive background in technology, product innovation and business transition, he has led high-growth teams, scaled global businesses and driven strategic change. John was previously CEO of Invenco. Under his leadership Invenco was sold to Vontier, an industrial manufacturing company based in the US in late 2022, becoming known as Invenco by GVR. John is currently executive chair of the board of EROAD, chair of the board of AoFrio, and chair of Digital Matter, all IoT technology and software solutions companies and he is also chair of hydro foiling electric vessel company, Vessev. Prior to this, John was an independent director for the digital engineering and software development company asBuilt and was a key executive for Navico Holdings involved in the design and manufacture of integrated systems and products for the marine, RV and industrial markets. In his early career John worked for Navman and the NYSE-listed Brunswick. John holds a Bachelor of Mechanical Engineering from the University of Auckland. Announcement • Dec 16
Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 25, 2026 Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 25, 2026. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 13
MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold NZ$6.8m worth of stock On the 10th of December, Gary Miles sold around 752k shares on-market at roughly NZ$9.00 per share. This transaction amounted to 23% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Gary's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Nov 25
Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.20 (vs NZ$0.093 in FY 2024) Full year 2025 results: EPS: NZ$0.20 (up from NZ$0.093 in FY 2024). Revenue: NZ$230.2m (up 7.9% from FY 2024). Net income: NZ$20.9m (up 119% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (up from 4.5% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 44% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 69% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. New Risk • Nov 24
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 7.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Announcement • Nov 24
Gentrack Group Limited Provides Earning Guidance for Year 2026 Gentrack Group Limited provided earning Guidance for Year 2026. For the expects revenue growth will be higher in FY26 than in FY25, but it is too early to provide further guidance. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 18
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to NZ$7.47, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 41x. Average forward P/E is 35x in the Software industry in Oceania. Total returns to shareholders of 347% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at NZ$7.76 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 28
Now 24% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to NZ$9.32. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$7.51, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 28% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Oct 28
Gentrack Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Nov 24, 2025 Gentrack Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Nov 24, 2025 Price Target Changed • Oct 20
Price target decreased by 7.5% to NZ$11.53 Down from NZ$12.46, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 22% above last closing price of NZ$9.43. Stock is down 14% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.15 for next year compared to NZ$0.093 last year. New Risk • Sep 06
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 5.8% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Price Target Changed • Aug 07
Price target decreased by 7.7% to NZ$11.86 Down from NZ$12.84, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 17% above last closing price of NZ$10.10. Stock is up 2.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.15 for next year compared to NZ$0.093 last year. Reported Earnings • May 21
First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.068 (vs NZ$0.052 in 1H 2024) First half 2025 results: EPS: NZ$0.068 (up from NZ$0.052 in 1H 2024). Revenue: NZ$112.0m (up 9.8% from 1H 2024). Net income: NZ$7.19m (up 35% from 1H 2024). Profit margin: 6.4% (up from 5.2% in 1H 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 58% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 95% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. New Risk • May 21
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 6.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Price Target Changed • May 15
Price target increased by 14% to NZ$14.13 Up from NZ$12.34, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 17% above last closing price of NZ$12.12. Stock is up 51% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.16 for next year compared to NZ$0.093 last year. Major Estimate Revision • May 15
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from NZ$0.195 to NZ$0.159 per share. Revenue forecast steady at NZ$240.4m. Net income forecast to grow 74% next year vs 38% growth forecast for Software industry in New Zealand. Consensus price target up from NZ$12.34 to NZ$14.13. Share price fell 3.4% to NZ$12.12 over the past week. Announcement • Apr 28
Gentrack Group Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on May 19, 2025 Gentrack Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on May 19, 2025 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 14
Now 21% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 8.9% to NZ$10.68. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$8.85, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 24% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 64%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 30% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 28
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 9.1% to NZ$11.45. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$9.54, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 24% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 64%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 30% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 28
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 24% to NZ$12.40. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$10.32, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 24% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 64%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 30% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 10
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 11% to NZ$12.46. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$10.35, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 24% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 64%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 30% per annum over the same time period. New Risk • Dec 29
New minor risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 4.4% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.7% average weekly change). Minor Risks Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (4.4% increase in shares outstanding). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (NZ$9.6m sold). Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 13
MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold NZ$6.9m worth of stock On the 10th of December, Gary Miles sold around 528k shares on-market at roughly NZ$13.00 per share. This transaction amounted to 23% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Gary has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by NZ$7.7m. Announcement • Dec 12
Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 26, 2025 Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 26, 2025. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 28
Now 25% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 34% to NZ$13.55. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$10.88, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 24% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 64%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • Nov 27
Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2024 results: EPS: NZ$0.093 (down from NZ$0.10 in FY 2023). Revenue: NZ$213.2m (up 26% from FY 2023). Net income: NZ$9.55m (down 5.0% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 4.5% (down from 5.9% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 32%. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 64% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 92% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. New Risk • Nov 26
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 8.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.6% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (4.0% net profit margin). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (NZ$890k sold). Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 12
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 2.7% to NZ$10.55. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$8.77, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period. Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 05
MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold NZ$890k worth of stock On the 31st of October, Gary Miles sold around 88k shares on-market at roughly NZ$10.12 per share. This transaction amounted to 6.9% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Gary has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by NZ$1.4m. Announcement • Oct 31
Gentrack Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Nov 26, 2024 Gentrack Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Nov 26, 2024 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 16
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 1.0% to NZ$10.84. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$9.03, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 01
Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 8.4% to NZ$11.00. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$9.09, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 10
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 13% to NZ$10.98. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$9.14, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period. New Risk • Jun 05
New minor risk - Earnings quality The company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 21% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.4% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (4.0% net profit margin). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (NZ$255k sold). Major Estimate Revision • May 26
Consensus revenue estimates increase by 18% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from NZ$172.4m to NZ$203.8m. EPS estimate increased from NZ$0.098 to NZ$0.125 per share. Net income forecast to grow 101% next year vs 46% growth forecast for Software industry in New Zealand. Consensus price target up from NZ$7.81 to NZ$9.50. Share price rose 22% to NZ$9.75 over the past week. New Risk • May 20
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 4.0% Last year net profit margin: 6.8% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.4% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (4.0% net profit margin). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (NZ$255k sold). Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 20
Now 28% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 24% to NZ$9.44. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$7.35, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 23% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to grow by 24% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 209% in the next 2 years. Announcement • Apr 23
Gentrack Group Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on May 20, 2024 Gentrack Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on May 20, 2024 Recent Insider Transactions • Apr 06
Chief Financial Officer recently sold NZ$255k worth of stock On the 2nd of April, John Priggen sold around 30k shares on-market at roughly NZ$8.56 per share. This transaction amounted to 44% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was John's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Announcement • Jan 11
Nick Luckock Announces Not to Seek Re-Election as Director of Gentrack Group Limited Gentrack Group Limited announced that Nick Luckock has advised the company of his intention not to seek re-election as a Director of the company at Gentrack Group's annual meeting in February. Therefore, Nick's term as a Director of Gentrack Group will cease at the conclusion of the company's annual meeting. Andy Green, Gentrack Group's Chair, said the Gentrack Group Board would like to thank Nick for his significant contribution to the company since joining the Gentrack Group Board in February 2018. The Gentrack Group Board will announce the appointment of a director to replace Nick Luckock following the completion of a selection process. Announcement • Dec 13
Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 28, 2024 Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 28, 2024. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 05
MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold NZ$509k worth of stock On the 29th of November, Gary Miles sold around 88k shares on-market at roughly NZ$5.79 per share. This transaction amounted to 7.5% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Gary has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by NZ$941k. Board Change • Dec 01
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Independent Chairman of Board Andy Green was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Nov 30
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2023 results: EPS: NZ$0.10 (up from NZ$0.033 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: NZ$169.9m (up 35% from FY 2022). Net income: NZ$10.0m (up NZ$13.4m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.9% (up from net loss in FY 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 7.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 125% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 57% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Nov 29
Gentrack Group Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024 Gentrack Group Limited revised earnings guidance for the year 2024. For the year, revenue guidance has been upgraded to c. $170 million (from previous guidance of $157 million to $160 million for 2024). Announcement • Nov 01
Gentrack Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Nov 28, 2023 Gentrack Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Nov 28, 2023 Reported Earnings • May 25
First half 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations First half 2023 results: EPS: NZ$0.078 (up from NZ$0.058 loss in 1H 2022). Revenue: NZ$84.3m (up 48% from 1H 2022). Net income: NZ$7.88m (up NZ$13.7m from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 9.3% (up from net loss in 1H 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 63%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 17% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 94% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 44% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Price Target Changed • Apr 29
Price target increased by 11% to NZ$3.45 Up from NZ$3.11, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 7.0% above last closing price of NZ$3.22. Stock is up 93% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.03 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.033 last year. Price Target Changed • Mar 28
Price target increased by 8.3% to NZ$3.11 Up from NZ$2.87, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 13% above last closing price of NZ$2.75. Stock is up 54% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.021 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.033 last year. Buying Opportunity • Feb 24
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 71%. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$3.67, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Announcement • Dec 12
Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 23, 2023 Gentrack Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 23, 2023. Reported Earnings • Dec 01
Full year 2022 earnings released: NZ$0.033 loss per share (vs NZ$0.032 profit in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: NZ$0.033 loss per share (down from NZ$0.032 profit in FY 2021). Revenue: NZ$126.3m (up 20% from FY 2021). Net loss: NZ$3.32m (down 204% from profit in FY 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 40% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Nov 29
Gentrack Group Limited Provides Revenue Guidance for the Year 2024 Gentrack Group Limited provided revenue guidance for the year 2024. For the year, the company expects revenue to $150 million. Price Target Changed • Nov 16
Price target decreased to NZ$1.58 Down from NZ$1.83, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 5.7% below last closing price of NZ$1.67. Stock is down 11% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.038 compared to earnings per share of NZ$0.032 last year. Announcement • Sep 29
Gentrack Group Limited Updates Revenue Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022 Gentrack Group Limited updated revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2022. For the year, the company updated revenue to be around $125 million. Announcement • Sep 21
Gentrack Group Limited Announces Launch of G2.0, A New Transformation Solution Gentrack Group Limited announced the launch of g2.0. This solution brings together three technology leaders; Gentrack, Salesforce and AWS, to create a modern next generation platform to recharge, reshape and renew the industry. Globally, utilities are facing a perfect storm: rising wholesale energy prices, political pressures, defining and meeting sustainability targets, regulatory change and demands for better customer experience. Together these can diminish profitability. At the same time however, there are exciting opportunities to deliver innovative new services, better digital engagement and develop new revenue streams required by utilities today. For more than 30 years, Gentrack has been partnering with many of the world's leading utilities, providing meter-to-cash solutions. g2.0 combines this wealth of experience with Salesforce's unbeatable CRM to offer extensive capabilities, a richecosystem, and out of the box customer journeys; all integrated with the Gentrack core platform. Running with composable architecture on AWS ensures high performance, security, and scalability enabling rapid prototyping and innovation with minimal system change. Major Estimate Revision • May 30
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 revenue forecast increased from NZ$111.4m to NZ$114.9m. Forecast EPS reduced from -NZ$0.04 to -NZ$0.06 per share. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 16% next year. Consensus price target down from NZ$1.83 to NZ$1.58. Share price rose 8.6% to NZ$1.64 over the past week. Price Target Changed • May 25
Price target decreased to NZ$1.58 Down from NZ$1.83, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of NZ$1.55. Stock is down 18% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.059 compared to earnings per share of NZ$0.032 last year. Reported Earnings • May 25
First half 2022 earnings released First half 2022 results: Revenue: (down 100% from 1H 2021). Net income: (up NZ$1.12m from 1H 2021). Profit margin: (up from net loss in 1H 2021). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 3.6%, compared to a 47% growth forecast for the industry in New Zealand. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 34% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • May 24
Gentrack Group Limited Provides Revenue Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022 Gentrack Group Limited provided revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2022. For the year, the company expected revenue to be around $115 million was confirmed that there is no change to this guidance. Gentrack alsoconfirms there is no change to the FY24 targets provided on 16th June 2021. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 14
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 15% share price gain to NZ$1.90, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 59.9x. Average forward P/E is 31x in the Software industry in Oceania. Total loss to shareholders of 65% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at NZ$3.52 per share. Announcement • Feb 25
Gentrack Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022 Gentrack Group Limited provided earnings guidance for the fiscal year 2022. The company's group revenues for fiscal year 2022 are forecast to be around $115 million (vs fiscal year 2021 revenues of $105.7 million). This revenue growth is a result of the group's strategy to deliver innovative solutions to new and existing customers and is despite headwinds due primarily to UK B2C supplier insolvencies. Reported Earnings • Nov 27
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2021 results: EPS: NZ$0.032 (up from NZ$0.32 loss in FY 2020). Revenue: NZ$105.7m (up 5.2% from FY 2020). Net income: NZ$3.19m (up NZ$34.9m from FY 2020). Profit margin: 3.0% (up from net loss in FY 2020). The move to profitability was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to stay flat compared to a 31% growth forecast for the industry in New Zealand. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 34 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Recent Insider Transactions • Oct 07
MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold NZ$200k worth of stock On the 5th of October, Gary Miles sold around 113k shares on-market at roughly NZ$1.77 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Gary's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 20
Insider recently sold NZ$20m worth of stock On the 16th of June, John Clifford sold around 10m shares on-market at roughly NZ$2.08 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of NZ$20m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Major Estimate Revision • Jun 02
Consensus EPS estimates increase to -NZ$0.023 The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2021 has improved. 2021 revenue forecast increased from NZ$93.7m to NZ$100.2m. EPS estimate increased from -NZ$0.056 to -NZ$0.023. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 12% next year. Consensus price target up from NZ$1.45 to NZ$1.91. Share price rose 21% to NZ$2.08 over the past week. Reported Earnings • May 28
First half 2021 earnings released: NZ$0.011 loss per share (vs NZ$0.13 loss in 1H 2020) The company reported a solid first half result with reduced losses and improved control over expenses, although revenues were flat. First half 2021 results: Revenue: NZ$51.0m (flat on 1H 2020). Net loss: NZ$1.12m (loss narrowed 91% from 1H 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 82 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • May 27
Gentrack Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for Full Year 2021 Gentrack Group Limite advised that it expected full year 2021 EBITDA to be around $5 million and revenues in line with 2020 of $100.5 million. 
