Gentrack Group Limited

NZSE:GTK Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$1.0b

Gentrack Group Valuation

Is GTK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GTK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GTK (NZ$10.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NZ$8.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GTK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GTK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GTK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA71.8x
PEG Ratio4.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GTK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GTK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.8x
SDL Solution Dynamics
6xn/aNZ$16.9m
4071 Plus Alpha ConsultingLtd
30.5x18.3%JP¥89.4b
300532 New Trend International Logis-TechLtd
15.8xn/aCN¥5.3b
CMG Computer Modelling Group
42.7x23.2%CA$1.0b
GTK Gentrack Group
139.6x29.3%NZ$1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (139.6x) compared to the peer average (24x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GTK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.0%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.0%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (139.6x) compared to the Oceanic Software industry average (63.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GTK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GTK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio139.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GTK's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GTK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNZ$10.10
NZ$9.92
-1.8%
24.7%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a6
Nov ’25NZ$10.00
NZ$9.92
-0.8%
24.7%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a6
Oct ’25NZ$11.00
NZ$9.92
-9.8%
24.7%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a6
Sep ’25NZ$10.09
NZ$9.50
-5.8%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
Aug ’25NZ$10.35
NZ$9.50
-8.2%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
Jul ’25NZ$10.30
NZ$9.50
-7.8%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
Jun ’25NZ$9.65
NZ$9.50
-1.6%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
May ’25NZ$8.10
NZ$7.13
-12.0%
34.5%NZ$11.00NZ$5.00n/a4
Apr ’25NZ$8.90
NZ$5.83
-34.5%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Mar ’25NZ$7.91
NZ$5.83
-26.3%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Feb ’25NZ$6.60
NZ$5.83
-11.6%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Jan ’25NZ$6.62
NZ$5.83
-11.9%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Dec ’24NZ$6.19
NZ$5.83
-5.8%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Nov ’24NZ$5.10
NZ$4.47
-12.4%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$10.003
Oct ’24NZ$4.79
NZ$4.47
-6.8%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$11.003
Sep ’24NZ$4.47
NZ$4.47
-0.07%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$10.093
Aug ’24NZ$4.49
NZ$4.47
-0.5%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$10.353
Jul ’24NZ$4.20
NZ$4.22
+0.5%
13.7%NZ$5.00NZ$3.48NZ$10.304
Jun ’24NZ$4.10
NZ$4.22
+2.9%
13.7%NZ$5.00NZ$3.48NZ$9.654
May ’24NZ$3.29
NZ$3.45
+4.7%
9.7%NZ$3.80NZ$2.90NZ$8.104
Apr ’24NZ$2.82
NZ$3.11
+10.2%
19.0%NZ$3.80NZ$2.25NZ$8.904
Mar ’24NZ$2.93
NZ$2.93
+0.09%
24.4%NZ$3.80NZ$2.20NZ$7.914
Feb ’24NZ$2.85
NZ$2.61
-8.4%
20.9%NZ$3.38NZ$2.20NZ$6.603
Jan ’24NZ$2.53
NZ$2.61
+3.2%
20.9%NZ$3.38NZ$2.20NZ$6.623
Dec ’23NZ$2.45
NZ$2.38
-3.0%
31.9%NZ$3.38NZ$1.55NZ$6.193
Nov ’23NZ$1.55
NZ$1.58
+1.6%
1.6%NZ$1.60NZ$1.55NZ$5.102

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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