Gentrack Group Limited

NZSE:GTK Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$1.3b

Gentrack Group Valuation

Is GTK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GTK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GTK (NZ$12.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NZ$10.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GTK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GTK?

Key metric: As GTK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GTK. This is calculated by dividing GTK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GTK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio139x
EarningsNZ$9.55m
Market CapNZ$1.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GTK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GTK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.3x
SDL Solution Dynamics
3.4xn/aNZ$9.6m
3993 PKSHA Technology
39.5x18.3%JP¥117.6b
300532 New Trend International Logis-TechLtd
16.8xn/aCN¥5.6b
CMG Computer Modelling Group
41.4x36.2%CA$851.2m
GTK Gentrack Group
139x29.7%NZ$1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (139x) compared to the peer average (25.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GTK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Software Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GTK 139.0xIndustry Avg. 68.4xNo. of Companies2PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (139x) compared to the Oceanic Software industry average (68.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GTK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GTK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio139x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GTK's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GTK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNZ$12.80
NZ$12.12
-5.3%
26.8%NZ$15.00NZ$7.50n/a6
Dec ’25NZ$14.05
NZ$11.62
-17.3%
25.6%NZ$14.54NZ$7.50n/a6
Nov ’25NZ$10.00
NZ$9.92
-0.8%
24.7%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a6
Oct ’25NZ$11.00
NZ$9.92
-9.8%
24.7%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a6
Sep ’25NZ$10.09
NZ$9.50
-5.8%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
Aug ’25NZ$10.35
NZ$9.50
-8.2%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
Jul ’25NZ$10.30
NZ$9.50
-7.8%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
Jun ’25NZ$9.65
NZ$9.50
-1.6%
26.2%NZ$12.00NZ$6.00n/a5
May ’25NZ$8.10
NZ$7.13
-12.0%
34.5%NZ$11.00NZ$5.00n/a4
Apr ’25NZ$8.90
NZ$5.83
-34.5%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Mar ’25NZ$7.91
NZ$5.83
-26.3%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Feb ’25NZ$6.60
NZ$5.83
-11.6%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Jan ’25NZ$6.62
NZ$5.83
-11.9%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00n/a3
Dec ’24NZ$6.19
NZ$5.83
-5.8%
20.2%NZ$7.50NZ$5.00NZ$14.053
Nov ’24NZ$5.10
NZ$4.47
-12.4%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$10.003
Oct ’24NZ$4.79
NZ$4.47
-6.8%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$11.003
Sep ’24NZ$4.47
NZ$4.47
-0.07%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$10.093
Aug ’24NZ$4.49
NZ$4.47
-0.5%
10.1%NZ$5.00NZ$3.90NZ$10.353
Jul ’24NZ$4.20
NZ$4.22
+0.5%
13.7%NZ$5.00NZ$3.48NZ$10.304
Jun ’24NZ$4.10
NZ$4.22
+2.9%
13.7%NZ$5.00NZ$3.48NZ$9.654
May ’24NZ$3.29
NZ$3.45
+4.7%
9.7%NZ$3.80NZ$2.90NZ$8.104
Apr ’24NZ$2.82
NZ$3.11
+10.2%
19.0%NZ$3.80NZ$2.25NZ$8.904
Mar ’24NZ$2.93
NZ$2.93
+0.09%
24.4%NZ$3.80NZ$2.20NZ$7.914
Feb ’24NZ$2.85
NZ$2.61
-8.4%
20.9%NZ$3.38NZ$2.20NZ$6.603
Jan ’24NZ$2.53
NZ$2.61
+3.2%
20.9%NZ$3.38NZ$2.20NZ$6.623
Dec ’23NZ$2.45
NZ$2.38
-3.0%
31.9%NZ$3.38NZ$1.55NZ$6.193

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 06:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Gentrack Group Limited is covered by 13 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael ArdreyBell Potter
Owen HumphriesCanaccord Genuity
Wassim KisirwaniCredit Suisse