Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) Might Be Difficult

NZSE:RBD
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When close to half the companies in New Zealand have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (NZSE:RBD) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 23x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Restaurant Brands New Zealand as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Restaurant Brands New Zealand

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NZSE:RBD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Restaurant Brands New Zealand's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Restaurant Brands New Zealand's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 49% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 47% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 36% each year during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Restaurant Brands New Zealand's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Restaurant Brands New Zealand maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Restaurant Brands New Zealand (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Restaurant Brands New Zealand. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.