To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So when we looked at Treasure (OB:TRE) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Treasure is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.032 = US$12m ÷ (US$385m - US$3.0k) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Thus, Treasure has an ROCE of 3.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Logistics industry average of 8.5%.
View our latest analysis for Treasure
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Treasure's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Treasure Tell Us?
Even though ROCE is still low in absolute terms, it's good to see it's heading in the right direction. We found that the returns on capital employed over the last three years have risen by 236%. The company is now earning US$0.03 per dollar of capital employed. Speaking of capital employed, the company is actually utilizing 34% less than it was three years ago, which can be indicative of a business that's improving its efficiency. If this trend continues, the business might be getting more efficient but it's shrinking in terms of total assets.
What We Can Learn From Treasure's ROCE
In the end, Treasure has proven it's capital allocation skills are good with those higher returns from less amount of capital. And investors seem to expect more of this going forward, since the stock has rewarded shareholders with a 45% return over the last three years. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Treasure that you might find interesting.
While Treasure isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About OB:TRE
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.