Yara International ASA

OB:YAR Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 76.2b

Yara International Valuation

Is YAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YAR (NOK299) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK427.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YAR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YAR?

Key metric: As YAR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YAR. This is calculated by dividing YAR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YAR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.3x
EarningsUS$548.00m
Market CapUS$6.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YAR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.6x
NHY Norsk Hydro
92.7x47.6%NOK 124.3b
BRG Borregaard
21.9x13.5%NOK 17.8b
FMC FMC
4.1x-20.2%US$6.2b
ICL ICL Group
15.9x17.8%US$6.4b
YAR Yara International
12.3x14.3%NOK 76.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YAR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (33.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YAR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YAR 12.3xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YAR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YAR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YAR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio12.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YAR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 299.00
NOK 352.64
+17.9%
15.2%NOK 435.00NOK 250.00n/a20
Dec ’25NOK 310.60
NOK 351.25
+13.1%
14.8%NOK 435.00NOK 250.00n/a18
Nov ’25NOK 333.50
NOK 350.40
+5.1%
15.2%NOK 435.00NOK 250.00n/a18
Oct ’25NOK 337.60
NOK 347.25
+2.9%
14.8%NOK 435.00NOK 280.00n/a17
Sep ’25NOK 308.80
NOK 346.67
+12.3%
15.0%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
Aug ’25NOK 306.40
NOK 352.04
+14.9%
15.6%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
Jul ’25NOK 307.10
NOK 352.10
+14.7%
16.4%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
Jun ’25NOK 324.90
NOK 354.78
+9.2%
15.8%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
May ’25NOK 317.50
NOK 370.87
+16.8%
14.6%NOK 448.73NOK 280.00n/a17
Apr ’25NOK 342.90
NOK 381.12
+11.1%
11.7%NOK 439.06NOK 300.00n/a17
Mar ’25NOK 342.30
NOK 386.17
+12.8%
11.6%NOK 435.00NOK 300.00n/a17
Feb ’25NOK 351.60
NOK 385.36
+9.6%
14.5%NOK 460.00NOK 260.00n/a16
Jan ’25NOK 361.20
NOK 397.64
+10.1%
13.3%NOK 475.00NOK 300.00n/a16
Dec ’24NOK 362.60
NOK 399.58
+10.2%
13.4%NOK 475.00NOK 300.00NOK 310.6016
Nov ’24NOK 363.20
NOK 402.89
+10.9%
12.8%NOK 475.00NOK 320.00NOK 333.5016
Oct ’24NOK 405.30
NOK 416.05
+2.7%
13.1%NOK 505.00NOK 320.00NOK 337.6017
Sep ’24NOK 387.60
NOK 412.50
+6.4%
13.4%NOK 505.00NOK 320.00NOK 308.8018
Aug ’24NOK 412.30
NOK 411.41
-0.2%
13.2%NOK 505.00NOK 320.00NOK 306.4018
Jul ’24NOK 379.00
NOK 433.29
+14.3%
13.2%NOK 520.00NOK 330.00NOK 307.1018
Jun ’24NOK 412.70
NOK 441.76
+7.0%
12.8%NOK 525.00NOK 350.00NOK 324.9018
May ’24NOK 428.80
NOK 456.59
+6.5%
13.4%NOK 540.00NOK 360.00NOK 317.5018
Apr ’24NOK 453.90
NOK 472.10
+4.0%
12.4%NOK 550.00NOK 360.00NOK 342.9018
Mar ’24NOK 491.80
NOK 484.51
-1.5%
11.2%NOK 550.00NOK 360.00NOK 342.3017
Feb ’24NOK 443.10
NOK 476.09
+7.4%
10.5%NOK 560.00NOK 380.00NOK 351.6017
Jan ’24NOK 430.60
NOK 475.12
+10.3%
11.4%NOK 560.00NOK 380.00NOK 361.2017
Dec ’23NOK 449.70
NOK 477.25
+6.1%
11.8%NOK 560.00NOK 380.00NOK 362.6017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 02:47
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Yara International ASA is covered by 62 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Andrew BensonÅlandsbanken Equities Research Ab
Stephen WilderAlliance Global Partners