Yara International ASA

OB:YAR Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 122.1b

Yara International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Yara International's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 0.4% and 13.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 10.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-13.1%

Earnings growth rate

-10.26%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth-1.2%
Revenue growth rate-0.4%
Future return on equity9.90%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 06

YAR: Rising Margin Expectations Will Drive Re Rating Over Time

Analysts have raised their average price target on Yara International by NOK 21 to NOK 650, reflecting mixed but generally constructive research updates that balance more cautious revenue growth assumptions with firmer profit margin expectations and a slightly lower P/E multiple outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a mix of upgrades, downgrades and price target revisions for Yara International, with bullish analysts focusing on higher valuation ranges and improved execution potential, while more cautious voices flag risks around future earnings and sector conditions.
Narrative Update • May 22

YAR: DOJ Pricing Probe Will Pressure Margins And Future Earnings Multiples

Analysts have lifted the average price target on Yara International by NOK 11 to around NOK 371, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E multiples after a mix of recent upgrades, downgrades and target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Yara International shows a mixed backdrop, with some firms lifting price targets while others turn more cautious on execution and valuation risk.
Narrative Update • May 06

YAR: DOJ Price Fixing Probe Will Pressure Earnings And Cash Flow

The updated analyst price target for Yara International has shifted from NOK 330 to about NOK 360, reflecting recent price target revisions and rating changes from several banks, with analysts citing refreshed views on valuation assumptions and sector comparables. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but increasingly cautious tone around Yara International, with several institutions revisiting both ratings and price targets in quick succession.
Narrative Update • Apr 21

YAR: Higher Earnings Power Will Drive Re Rating Despite DOJ Probe

Analysts have lifted the Yara International fair value estimate from NOK 517 to NOK 650, reflecting updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple following several recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yara International has been mixed, with both upgrades and downgrades in a relatively short period.
Narrative Update • Apr 07

YAR: DOJ Price Fixing Probe Will Pressure Margins And Earnings Visibility

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Yara International from NOK 298.30 to NOK 330.00, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, margin profile and future P/E, alongside a series of recent price target increases and rating upgrades from major banks and research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Yara International shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several high profile price target changes and rating moves clustered over a relatively short period.
Narrative Update • Mar 24

YAR: DOJ Price Fixing Probe Will Test Execution Risk In Fertilizer Markets

Analysts have slightly trimmed their fair value estimate for Yara International while supporting higher Street price targets, including the recent move to NOK 550 and incremental target increases, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Yara International, with some firms lifting ratings and price targets while others are more cautious.
Narrative Update • Mar 08

YAR: Mixed Research And DOJ Probe Will Shape A Measured Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for Yara International has increased from NOK 490 to NOK 517, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed discount rate, even as recent Street research shows a mix of downgrades, upgrades, and modest target raises from banks and brokers. Analyst Commentary Street research on Yara International has been mixed in recent weeks, with some firms turning more cautious while others point to potential upside.
Narrative Update • Feb 22

YAR: Higher Fair Value Will Expose Execution Risk In Low Emission Ammonia

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Yara International to NOK 310 from around NOK 298, reflecting updated models that factor in a slightly higher assumed profit margin, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and recent mixed rating changes including both downgrades and upgrades, alongside incremental target increases from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yara International has been mixed, with some firms turning more cautious even as others see room for upside.
Narrative Update • Feb 08

YAR: Low Emission Ammonia Projects Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Narrative Update on Yara International The analyst fair value estimate for Yara International has moved from NOK 450 to NOK 490. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, margin assumptions and future P/E multiples following recent price target raises and upgrades from several covering analysts.
Analysis Article • Jan 28

Pinning Down Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) P/E Is Difficult Right Now

There wouldn't be many who think Yara International ASA's ( OB:YAR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.7x is...
Narrative Update • Jan 25

YAR: Higher Fair Value Will Test Execution On Low Emission Ammonia Plans

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Yara International from NOK 283.11 to NOK 297.89, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and recent upward price target revisions from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Yara International has included several upward price target revisions and at least one upgrade, but the tone is not uniformly optimistic.
Narrative Update • Jan 10

YAR: Raised NOK 430 Expectation Will Expose Execution Risks Ahead

Narrative Update on Yara International Analysts have lifted their price target for Yara International to NOK 430 from NOK 387. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Dec 24

YAR: Low Carbon Ammonia Projects And Margin Headwinds Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have nudged their price target for Yara International higher to approximately $386 per share from about $379, reflecting a slightly lower perceived risk profile and marginally richer future valuation multiples, despite softer expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Yara and Air Products entered advanced negotiations to partner on large scale low emission ammonia projects in the United States, aiming to diversify Yara's energy position and enhance competitiveness of its European nitrate operations (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Dec 10

YAR: Lower Multiple And Margin Outlook Will Shape Future Share Performance

Analysts have nudged their price target on Yara International slightly lower, trimming it by about NOK 25 to around NOK 365. Modestly improved margin and growth assumptions are offset by a lower valuation multiple and a slightly reduced fair value estimate.
Analysis Article • Dec 02

We Think Yara International (OB:YAR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update • Nov 25

YAR: Recent Rating Changes And Margin Prospects Will Influence Investor Outlook

Narrative Update on Yara International Yara International's analyst price target saw a mild downward revision of just over NOK 1 to NOK 378.91. Analysts point to slightly lower profit margin and revenue growth forecasts, balanced by changes in future valuation multiples.
Narrative Update • Nov 11

YAR: Future Margins And Cost Control Will Shape Near-Term Outlook

Yara International’s analyst price target has increased modestly from NOK 370.35 to NOK 380.17. Analysts are factoring in improved profit margins and a lower future price-to-earnings ratio, despite tempered revenue growth expectations.
Analysis Article • Oct 28

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Yara International's (OB:YAR) Earnings Are High Quality

Even though Yara International ASA's ( OB:YAR ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice...
Analysis Article • Oct 10

Yara International ASA (OB:YAR) Shares Could Be 21% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights The projected fair value for Yara International is kr478 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Yara...
Analysis Article • Sep 07

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) Shares

There wouldn't be many who think Yara International ASA's ( OB:YAR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x is worth...
Analysis Article • Aug 07

Is Yara International (OB:YAR) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article • Jul 04

Returns On Capital At Yara International (OB:YAR) Have Hit The Brakes

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll...
Analysis Article • Jun 15

Estimating The Fair Value Of Yara International ASA (OB:YAR)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Yara International is kr358 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Yara...
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New Narrative • Feb 24

Clean Ammonia Projects And Cost Reductions Will Drive Future Success

Yara's Clean Ammonia projects and European production optimization could improve net margins by enhancing profitability and aligning production with market demand.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OB:YAR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202816,0821,1311,2352,39014
12/31/202716,8771,3681,6972,87316
12/31/202618,5331,8742,0603,02317
3/31/202616,2231,4001,1752,089N/A
12/31/202515,6231,3689591,894N/A
9/30/202515,0757357081,646N/A
6/30/202514,5957016301,613N/A
3/31/202514,1762905141,557N/A
12/31/202413,868142511,286N/A
9/30/202413,9905481671,284N/A
6/30/202414,2342638431,988N/A
3/31/202414,670-387031,843N/A
12/31/202315,511481,1492,288N/A
9/30/202317,4265732,1393,207N/A
6/30/202319,7039731,2772,295N/A
3/31/202322,1331,9371,5792,579N/A
12/31/202223,9022,7771,4652,391N/A
9/30/202223,5512,0483351,261N/A
6/30/202221,8981,5061831,068N/A
3/31/202219,4121,3803641,163N/A
12/31/202116,6164495971,406N/A
9/30/202114,4426551,1721,983N/A
6/30/202112,9321,1361,9852,733N/A
3/31/202111,8908211,6692,413N/A
12/31/202011,5916911,2912,047N/A
9/30/202011,6846451,4672,275N/A
6/30/202012,1763799631,901N/A
3/31/202012,6993867971,845N/A
12/31/201912,858599N/A1,907N/A
9/30/201913,254556N/A1,129N/A
6/30/201913,281581N/A933N/A
3/31/201913,081139N/A776N/A
12/31/201812,928159N/A756N/A
9/30/201812,439106N/A886N/A
6/30/201811,94198N/A1,122N/A
3/31/201811,501392N/A911N/A
12/31/201711,358477N/A791N/A
9/30/201711,230331N/A1,033N/A
6/30/201710,936341N/A926N/A
3/31/201710,892616N/A1,107N/A
12/31/201611,029736N/A1,631N/A
9/30/201612,328891N/A1,617N/A
6/30/201612,1621,231N/A1,839N/A
3/31/201612,7361,229N/A1,789N/A
12/31/201512,203913N/A1,653N/A
9/30/201512,7401,114N/A1,781N/A
6/30/201513,418916N/A1,493N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: YAR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: YAR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: YAR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: YAR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: YAR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: YAR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/11 06:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Yara International ASA is covered by 45 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Stephen WilderAlliance Global Partners
Andreas HeineBarclays