Yara International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Yara International is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.3% and 1.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.1% in 3 years.

Key information

13.3%

Earnings growth rate

12.7%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	25.7%
Revenue growth rate	1.7%
Future return on equity	5.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	01 Feb 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

Jan 09

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) Low P/S

Jul 03

Yara International (OB:YAR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jun 12

We Discuss Why Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) CEO Will Find It Hard To Get A Pay Rise From Shareholders This Year

May 22

An Intrinsic Calculation For Yara International ASA (OB:YAR) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued

May 04

Revenues Working Against Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) Share Price

Mar 07

Some May Be Optimistic About Yara International's (OB:YAR) Earnings

Feb 17

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OB:YAR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	14,604	709	477	1,415	5
12/31/2026	14,838	681	723	1,843	14
12/31/2025	14,887	651	605	1,752	17
12/31/2024	14,133	427	620	1,676	17
9/30/2024	13,910	548	167	1,284	N/A
6/30/2024	14,154	263	843	1,988	N/A
3/31/2024	14,590	-38	703	1,843	N/A
12/31/2023	15,431	48	1,149	2,288	N/A
9/30/2023	17,426	573	2,139	3,207	N/A
6/30/2023	19,703	973	1,277	2,295	N/A
3/31/2023	22,133	1,937	1,579	2,579	N/A
12/31/2022	23,902	2,777	1,465	2,391	N/A
9/30/2022	23,551	2,048	335	1,261	N/A
6/30/2022	21,898	1,506	183	1,068	N/A
3/31/2022	19,412	1,380	364	1,163	N/A
12/31/2021	16,616	449	597	1,406	N/A
9/30/2021	14,442	655	1,172	1,983	N/A
6/30/2021	12,932	1,136	1,985	2,733	N/A
3/31/2021	11,890	821	1,669	2,413	N/A
12/31/2020	11,591	691	1,291	2,047	N/A
9/30/2020	11,684	645	1,467	2,275	N/A
6/30/2020	12,176	379	963	1,901	N/A
3/31/2020	12,699	386	797	1,845	N/A
12/31/2019	12,858	599	811	1,907	N/A
9/30/2019	13,254	556	-16	1,129	N/A
6/30/2019	13,281	581	-247	933	N/A
3/31/2019	13,081	139	-503	776	N/A
12/31/2018	12,928	159	-580	756	N/A
9/30/2018	12,439	106	-430	886	N/A
6/30/2018	11,941	98	N/A	1,122	N/A
3/31/2018	11,501	392	N/A	911	N/A
12/31/2017	11,358	477	N/A	791	N/A
9/30/2017	11,230	331	N/A	1,033	N/A
6/30/2017	10,936	341	N/A	926	N/A
3/31/2017	10,892	616	N/A	1,107	N/A
12/31/2016	11,029	736	N/A	1,631	N/A
9/30/2016	12,328	891	N/A	1,617	N/A
6/30/2016	12,162	1,231	N/A	1,839	N/A
3/31/2016	12,736	1,229	N/A	1,789	N/A
12/31/2015	12,203	913	N/A	1,653	N/A
9/30/2015	12,740	1,114	N/A	1,781	N/A
6/30/2015	13,418	916	N/A	1,493	N/A
3/31/2015	12,566	817	N/A	1,443	N/A
12/31/2014	12,744	1,019	N/A	1,150	N/A
9/30/2014	13,950	907	N/A	1,391	N/A
6/30/2014	14,028	928	N/A	1,944	N/A
3/31/2014	14,339	881	N/A	1,782	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: YAR's forecast earnings growth (13.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: YAR's earnings (13.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Norwegian market (9.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: YAR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: YAR's revenue (1.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Norwegian market (2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: YAR's revenue (1.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: YAR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.1%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/02/01 07:22
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Yara International ASA is covered by 62 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
null null	ABG Sundal Collier
Andrew Benson	Ålandsbanken Equities Research Ab
Stephen Wilder	Alliance Global Partners

Yara International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.084 loss

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 367%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 90%

Consensus EPS estimates increase from loss to US$0.113 profit

Recent updates

Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

Is Yara International (OB:YAR) A Risky Investment?

Yara International ASA, Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2025

Yara International ASA to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 25, 2025

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

What You Can Learn From Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) P/E

Does Yara International (OB:YAR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ETC Holdings (Mauritius) Limited acquired Yara Côte d'Ivoire S.A. from Yara International ASA (OB:YAR).

Is Yara International ASA (OB:YAR) Trading At A 29% Discount?

Independent Chairman of the Board recently bought kr1.6m worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.004 (vs US$1.18 loss in 2Q 2023)

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) Low P/S

Yara International (OB:YAR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Yara International ASA Approves Dividend, Payable on June 6, 2024

We Discuss Why Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) CEO Will Find It Hard To Get A Pay Rise From Shareholders This Year

Upcoming dividend of kr5.00 per share

An Intrinsic Calculation For Yara International ASA (OB:YAR) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Revenues Working Against Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) Share Price

President & CEO recently bought kr1.0m worth of stock

Some May Be Optimistic About Yara International's (OB:YAR) Earnings

New minor risk - Financial position

Yara International ASA Proposes Ordinary Dividend for 2023, Payable on 13 June 2024

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.084 loss

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 367%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 90%

Yara International ASA to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 07, 2025

President & CEO recently bought kr699k worth of stock

Executive VP & CFO recently bought kr563k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase from loss to US$0.113 profit

Third quarter 2023 earnings released

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%, revenue upgraded

Yara International ASA Announces Long-Term Trial Conducted at Hanninghof Research Center in Dulmen, Germany

Yara International Asa Announces Changes to Group Executive Board

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 59%

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: US$1.18 loss per share (vs US$2.61 profit in 2Q 2022)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

N J S Group Limited agreed to acquire unknown majority stake in YARA Cameroun S.A. from Yara International ASA (OB:YAR).

Yara Announces Lars Røsæg Will Leave as Deputy CEO and EVP Corporate Development to Take Up New Position as Investment Partner in Salvesen & Thams

Less than half of directors are independent

Now 28% undervalued after recent price drop

Yara International ASA Approves Board Members

Upcoming dividend of kr55.00 per share at 15% yield

Yara International ASA Announces Executive Changes

Independent Director recently bought kr213k worth of stock

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Yara International ASA Proposes Ordinary Dividend for 2022, Payable on 22 June 2023

President & CEO recently bought kr1m worth of stock

Yara International ASA Approves Dividend, Payable on 15 December 2022

Upcoming dividend of kr10.00 per share

Yara Reportedly Tipped to Buy Incitec's US Plant

Less than half of directors are independent

Yara International ASA Announces Håkon Reistad Fure Has Step Down from Board of Directors

Yara International Asa Proposes an Additional Dividend, Payable on December 15, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Less than half of directors are independent

Yara International ASA to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 09, 2024

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts