Norsk Hydro ASA

OB:NHY Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 123.9b

Norsk Hydro Valuation

Is NHY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NHY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NHY (NOK62.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK165.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NHY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NHY?

Key metric: As NHY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NHY. This is calculated by dividing NHY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NHY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio92.4x
EarningsNOK 1.34b
Market CapNOK 123.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NHY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NHY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
YAR Yara International
12.3x14.3%NOK 76.3b
PMETAL Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad
23.7x11.8%RM 38.8b
1378 China Hongqiao Group
5.7x6.4%HK$109.7b
BRG Borregaard
21.7x13.5%NOK 17.7b
NHY Norsk Hydro
92.4x47.6%NOK 123.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NHY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (92.4x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NHY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NHY 92.4xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NHY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (92.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NHY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NHY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio92.4x
Fair PE Ratio27.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NHY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (92.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NHY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 62.36
NOK 79.80
+28.0%
13.0%NOK 94.00NOK 55.00n/a15
Dec ’25NOK 68.30
NOK 79.00
+15.7%
13.3%NOK 94.00NOK 55.00n/a15
Nov ’25NOK 69.00
NOK 78.60
+13.9%
12.8%NOK 92.00NOK 55.00n/a15
Oct ’25NOK 68.46
NOK 77.21
+12.8%
15.6%NOK 92.00NOK 50.00n/a14
Sep ’25NOK 59.40
NOK 77.21
+30.0%
15.3%NOK 92.00NOK 50.00n/a14
Aug ’25NOK 59.06
NOK 78.36
+32.7%
14.3%NOK 92.00NOK 50.00n/a14
Jul ’25NOK 66.80
NOK 78.57
+17.6%
13.5%NOK 93.00NOK 50.00n/a14
Jun ’25NOK 70.92
NOK 76.08
+7.3%
12.7%NOK 85.00NOK 50.00n/a13
May ’25NOK 68.90
NOK 76.08
+10.4%
13.7%NOK 90.00NOK 50.00n/a13
Apr ’25NOK 59.40
NOK 73.62
+23.9%
13.8%NOK 87.00NOK 50.00n/a13
Mar ’25NOK 54.86
NOK 73.62
+34.2%
14.6%NOK 87.00NOK 50.00n/a13
Feb ’25NOK 61.96
NOK 75.69
+22.2%
14.3%NOK 89.00NOK 55.00n/a13
Jan ’25NOK 68.40
NOK 74.15
+8.4%
15.8%NOK 92.00NOK 55.00n/a13
Dec ’24NOK 64.46
NOK 74.00
+14.8%
18.3%NOK 95.00NOK 55.00NOK 68.3013
Nov ’24NOK 62.76
NOK 75.08
+19.6%
18.8%NOK 100.00NOK 55.00NOK 69.0013
Oct ’24NOK 67.20
NOK 77.15
+14.8%
19.1%NOK 100.00NOK 55.00NOK 68.4613
Sep ’24NOK 61.42
NOK 78.43
+27.7%
18.6%NOK 100.00NOK 55.00NOK 59.4014
Aug ’24NOK 66.32
NOK 79.86
+20.4%
17.5%NOK 100.00NOK 55.00NOK 59.0614
Jul ’24NOK 63.80
NOK 83.57
+31.0%
19.5%NOK 115.00NOK 55.00NOK 66.8014
Jun ’24NOK 66.72
NOK 85.00
+27.4%
19.0%NOK 115.00NOK 55.00NOK 70.9214
May ’24NOK 78.22
NOK 84.71
+8.3%
19.4%NOK 115.00NOK 55.00NOK 68.9014
Apr ’24NOK 77.80
NOK 82.14
+5.6%
17.0%NOK 100.00NOK 55.00NOK 59.4014
Mar ’24NOK 78.86
NOK 81.50
+3.3%
17.5%NOK 100.00NOK 55.00NOK 54.8612
Feb ’24NOK 80.80
NOK 77.15
-4.5%
17.6%NOK 94.00NOK 55.00NOK 61.9613
Jan ’24NOK 73.32
NOK 73.29
-0.05%
18.8%NOK 93.00NOK 55.00NOK 68.4014
Dec ’23NOK 73.16
NOK 72.29
-1.2%
18.7%NOK 90.00NOK 55.00NOK 64.4614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 00:31
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Norsk Hydro ASA is covered by 42 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bengt JonassenABG Sundal Collier
Varun SikkaAlphaValue
Thomas LorckArctic Securities ASA