Stock Analysis

With EPS Growth And More, Yara International (OB:YAR) Is Interesting

OB:YAR
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Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Yara International (OB:YAR). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

Check out our latest analysis for Yara International

How Fast Is Yara International Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

In the last three years Yara International's earnings per share took off like a rocket; fast, and from a low base. So the actual rate of growth doesn't tell us much. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Like a firecracker arcing through the night sky, Yara International's EPS shot from US$3.09 to US$5.42, over the last year. You don't see 75% year-on-year growth like that, very often. The best case scenario? That the business has hit a true inflection point.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. The good news is that Yara International is growing revenues, and EBIT margins improved by 3.1 percentage points to 13%, over the last year. That's great to see, on both counts.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
OB:YAR Earnings and Revenue History May 18th 2022

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Yara International's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Yara International Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like the kids in the streets standing up for their beliefs, insider share purchases give me reason to believe in a brighter future. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Like a sturdy phalanx Yara International insiders have stood united by refusing to sell shares over the last year. But my excitement comes from the US$1.0m that Independent Director Hakon Reistad Fure spent buying shares (at an average price of about US$406).

Should You Add Yara International To Your Watchlist?

Yara International's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. Growth investors should find it difficult to look past that strong EPS move. And in fact, it could well signal a fundamental shift in the business economics. If that's the case, you may regret neglecting to put Yara International on your watchlist. Before you take the next step you should know about the 3 warning signs for Yara International (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Yara International isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.