Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Norsk Hydro (OB:NHY) Is Using Debt Extensively

OB:NHY
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Norsk Hydro ASA (OB:NHY) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Norsk Hydro

What Is Norsk Hydro's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Norsk Hydro had debt of kr39.1b, up from kr35.0b in one year. However, it does have kr22.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr16.5b.

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OB:NHY Debt to Equity History October 19th 2024

How Healthy Is Norsk Hydro's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Norsk Hydro had liabilities of kr51.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr50.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr22.6b as well as receivables valued at kr28.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr50.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Norsk Hydro has a very large market capitalization of kr136.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Norsk Hydro's net debt is only 0.38 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 31.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Norsk Hydro's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 22% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Norsk Hydro's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Norsk Hydro recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

While Norsk Hydro's EBIT growth rate has us nervous. To wit both its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Norsk Hydro is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Norsk Hydro (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.