Stock Analysis

Norway Royal Salmon AS (OB:NRS) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

OB:NRS
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With its stock down 8.9% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Norway Royal Salmon (OB:NRS). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Norway Royal Salmon's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Norway Royal Salmon

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Norway Royal Salmon is:

13% = kr440m ÷ kr3.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every NOK1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated NOK0.13 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Norway Royal Salmon's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To start with, Norway Royal Salmon's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 9.9%. As you might expect, the 7.2% net income decline reported by Norway Royal Salmon is a bit of a surprise. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

That being said, we compared Norway Royal Salmon's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.3% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
OB:NRS Past Earnings Growth January 30th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is NRS fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Norway Royal Salmon Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 44% (that is, a retention ratio of 56%), the fact that Norway Royal Salmon's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Norway Royal Salmon has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 49% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Norway Royal Salmon is predicted to rise to 19% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Norway Royal Salmon has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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