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Odfjell Drilling (OB:ODL) jumps 4.8% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind five-year shareholder returns
We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. And we've seen some truly amazing gains over the years. Just think about the savvy investors who held Odfjell Drilling Ltd. (OB:ODL) shares for the last five years, while they gained 559%. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. It's also good to see the share price up 18% over the last quarter. Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Odfjell Drilling investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
See our latest analysis for Odfjell Drilling
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over half a decade, Odfjell Drilling managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 46% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Odfjell Drilling's TSR for the last 5 years was 747%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Odfjell Drilling shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 34% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 53% per year, is even more impressive. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Odfjell Drilling you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Norwegian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:ODL
Odfjell Drilling
Owns and operates mobile offshore drilling units primarily in Norway and Namibia.
Reasonable growth potential average dividend payer.