Stock Analysis

With A 31% Price Drop For Nel ASA (OB:NEL) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

OB:NEL
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Nel ASA (OB:NEL) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 65% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Nel is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2x, considering almost half the companies in Norway's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Nel

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:NEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 14th 2025

What Does Nel's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Nel has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Nel's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nel?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Nel's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 138% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.4% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nel's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Nel's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Nel's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Nel you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.