Is Havyard Group (OB:HYARD) A Risky Investment?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
September 01, 2021
OB:HYARD
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Havyard Group ASA (OB:HYARD) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Havyard Group

What Is Havyard Group's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Havyard Group had kr355.5m of debt at June 2021, down from kr692.2m a year prior. But it also has kr555.7m in cash to offset that, meaning it has kr200.2m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:HYARD Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2021

A Look At Havyard Group's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Havyard Group had liabilities of kr1.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr131.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr555.7m as well as receivables valued at kr709.0m due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

Given Havyard Group has a market capitalization of kr313.0m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Havyard Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Although Havyard Group made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated kr110m in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Havyard Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Havyard Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Considering the last year, Havyard Group actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Havyard Group has kr200.2m in net cash. So we don't have any problem with Havyard Group's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Havyard Group (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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