Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To AKVA group ASA (OB:AKVA) With Shares Advancing 27%

OB:AKVA
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AKVA group ASA (OB:AKVA) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 24% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that AKVA group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Machinery industry in Norway, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for AKVA group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:AKVA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

How Has AKVA group Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, AKVA group has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AKVA group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AKVA group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like AKVA group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.1% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 8.2% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.0% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that AKVA group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From AKVA group's P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now AKVA group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that AKVA group's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware AKVA group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.