Stock Analysis

The Consensus EPS Estimates For Haugesund Sparebank (OB:HGSB) Just Fell A Lot

OB:HGSB
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Today is shaping up negative for Haugesund Sparebank (OB:HGSB) shareholders, with the covering analyst delivering a substantial negative revision to next year's forecasts. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analyst seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for Haugesund Sparebank from its sole analyst is for revenues of kr474m in 2025 which, if met, would be an okay 8.0% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to dive 26% to kr8.12 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of kr539m and earnings per share (EPS) of kr11.63 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

Check out our latest analysis for Haugesund Sparebank

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OB:HGSB Earnings and Revenue Growth January 30th 2025

The analyst made no major changes to their price target of kr127, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Haugesund Sparebank's valuation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that Haugesund Sparebank's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 6.3% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 9.9% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 2.4% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Haugesund Sparebank's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that the analyst has reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Haugesund Sparebank. Unfortunately, the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. We're also surprised to see that the price target went unchanged. Still, deteriorating business conditions (assuming accurate forecasts!) can be a leading indicator for the stock price, so we wouldn't blame investors for being more cautious on Haugesund Sparebank after the downgrade.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Haugesund Sparebank might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OB:HGSB

Haugesund Sparebank

A savings bank, provides various financial products and services to individuals and corporate customers in Norway.

Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.

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