When close to half the companies in the Netherlands have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider InPost S.A. (AMS:INPST) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 42.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
InPost certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for InPost
Is There Enough Growth For InPost?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like InPost's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 58% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 101% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 36% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 13% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that InPost's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that InPost maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for InPost that you need to take into consideration.
You might be able to find a better investment than InPost. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ENXTAM:INPST
InPost
Operates as an out-of-home e-commerce enablement platform providing parcel locker services in Europe.
High growth potential with solid track record.