Stock Analysis

In the wake of Akzo Nobel N.V.'s (AMS:AKZA) latest €358m market cap drop, institutional owners may be forced to take severe actions

ENXTAM:AKZA
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Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Akzo Nobel's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 48% ownership
  • Insiders have bought recently

A look at the shareholders of Akzo Nobel N.V. (AMS:AKZA) can tell us which group is most powerful. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 56% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

As a result, institutional investors endured the highest losses last week after market cap fell by €358m. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 5.3% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Often called “market movers", institutions wield significant power in influencing the price dynamics of any stock. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell Akzo Nobel which might hurt individual investors.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Akzo Nobel.

See our latest analysis for Akzo Nobel

ownership-breakdown
ENXTAM:AKZA Ownership Breakdown April 8th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Akzo Nobel?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Akzo Nobel. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Akzo Nobel's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTAM:AKZA Earnings and Revenue Growth April 8th 2024

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Akzo Nobel is not owned by hedge funds. Dodge & Cox is currently the company's largest shareholder with 8.6% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 5.0% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 5.0% by the third-largest shareholder.

Our studies suggest that the top 25 shareholders collectively control less than half of the company's shares, meaning that the company's shares are widely disseminated and there is no dominant shareholder.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Akzo Nobel

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Akzo Nobel N.V. in their own names. Being so large, we would not expect insiders to own a large proportion of the stock. Collectively, they own €2.6m of stock. It is good to see board members owning shares, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 44% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Akzo Nobel you should know about.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Akzo Nobel is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.