Stock Analysis

Van Lanschot Kempen (AMS:VLK) Will Pay A Dividend Of €2.00

ENXTAM:VLK
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The board of Van Lanschot Kempen NV (AMS:VLK) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 4th of June, with investors receiving €2.00 per share. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 9.8%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Van Lanschot Kempen's stock price has increased by 36% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Van Lanschot Kempen

Van Lanschot Kempen's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained.

Having paid out dividends for only 3 years, Van Lanschot Kempen does not have much of a history being a dividend paying company. Diving into the company's earnings report, the payout ratio is set at 71%, which is a decent ratio of dividend payout to earnings, and may sustain future dividends if the company stays at its current trend.

Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 5.0%. Analysts estimate the future payout ratio will be 67% over the same time period, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
ENXTAM:VLK Historic Dividend May 25th 2024

Van Lanschot Kempen Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the past, but the company has only been paying a dividend for 3 years, which isn't that long in the grand scheme of things. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.70 in 2021 to the most recent total annual payment of €4.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 79% over that duration. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Van Lanschot Kempen's earnings per share has shrunk at 57% a year over the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

Van Lanschot Kempen's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Van Lanschot Kempen has been making. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Van Lanschot Kempen that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.