Stock Analysis

At €36.50, Is Arcadis NV (AMS:ARCAD) Worth Looking At Closely?

ENXTAM:ARCAD
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Arcadis NV (AMS:ARCAD), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ENXTAM, rising to highs of €42.54 and falling to the lows of €36.08. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Arcadis' current trading price of €36.50 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Arcadis’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Arcadis

What's the opportunity in Arcadis?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 17% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Arcadis today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €43.88, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Arcadis’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Arcadis generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTAM:ARCAD Earnings and Revenue Growth March 7th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Arcadis, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 7.1% in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ARCAD’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ARCAD, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for Arcadis from their most recent forecasts. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.