Stock Analysis

Is Alfen (AMS:ALFEN) Using Too Much Debt?

ENXTAM:ALFEN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Alfen N.V. (AMS:ALFEN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Alfen

What Is Alfen's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Alfen had €7.43m of debt in June 2021, down from €8.57m, one year before. However, it does have €49.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €41.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTAM:ALFEN Debt to Equity History September 9th 2021

A Look At Alfen's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Alfen had liabilities of €62.0m due within a year, and liabilities of €17.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €49.0m in cash and €56.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast €26.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Alfen's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the €2.08b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Alfen boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Alfen has boosted its EBIT by 72%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alfen can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Alfen has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Alfen recorded free cash flow of 28% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Alfen has net cash of €41.5m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 72% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Alfen's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Alfen has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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